Moore's Law Chips Confidence

Packy Kelly, KPMG
EETimes (2/11/2015 07:00 AM EST)

Only a fourth of semiconductor business leaders believe Moore's Law will continue for the foreseeable future in an otherwise upbeat survey conducted by KPMG.

As we approach the 50th anniversary of Moore’s Law in April, the semiconductor industry faces the question of whether it can continue to innovate at the pace Gordon Moore’s landmark paper predicted. Some don’t think so.

In fact, only a fourth of the business leaders surveyed for my firm’s annual semiconductor industry survey expect the benefits of Moore’s Law to continue for the foreseeable future. More than half said Moore’s Law will no longer apply at various nodes less than 22 nanometers, while 16 percent said it already has ended.

The uncertainty surrounding Moore’s Law offers one of a few points of caution in an otherwise confident outlook from semiconductor company leaders globally. Interestingly, their confidence level is at its highest level in five years, according to KPMG’s research.

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